1. 2 of your £100 bank means a £20 bet. Some years ago, while holidaying for a lengthy period in France, I met a chap who made his money on the Paris races by following a two-horses-in-the-one-race approach. The Favourites Phenomenon Review blogspot com. Visit What are low odds Low odds are lines priced around 1. Big bets and market movers from Saturday's early races. The idea is that you aim to win a certain amount of cash per race by backing favourites or near favourites. Many of you may have to work the plan off the pre-post prices alone. You have chosen the two races you consider the best of the day. Horse at 7/1: 10 divided by 7 = a stake of £1. Sadly, they don’t pay enough to cover your outlay, let alone show a profit. . So the 6-Point Plan loses 8. No data found. If we could strike 15 of these 3/1 trebles we would be into a healthy profit situation. 20 and 1. 1. Finally, one of my own favourites is put to the test, a variation of the well known long standing target staking, which I have named the Small Target Plan. After a winner, drop back a half unit. 57 x 20 = 7. While it might look a bit funny to call our Plan of the Month “Plan for the Year”, it doesn’t hurt to remind yourself every now and again of some of the fundamental aspects of racing. 5 goals markets in football. Take 100 units out for the first day. In this example, as the edge is 10% and the odds are evens, 10 / 1 is 10. Now, professional punters. This will help you visualize the property boundaries and make sure the stakes are properly aligned. Overall, it is a strategy that is perfect for some punters. You can start before March 6 if you like of course, but it is the first. Now on to the money question. Percent to Bet – Initial Percentage of the Start Stake relative to the start bank. 50. They are the backers of favourites and longshots. A2. As promised, this month we are going to take a look at staking methods for trifectas. You can make a nice killing when the favs score at, say, 3/1 or 7/2. OKX offers both fixed and flexible staking plans for FTM. 00), your liability is greater than what you stand to win. Automatically places Back/Lay bets on one or more favourites within the market. Nothing fancy. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. 57 x 20 = 6. Using "The Sportsman" pre post market as my guide over the five main metropolitan meetings there were 16 pre post favourites quoted at $3. Each Saturday would introduce a new family into our network. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. How to quickly examine race cards to identify short-priced favourites that have (a very slim chance of winning) How to adopt a professional approach to betting to avoid the costly mistakes most layers make. Betting Free Staking Plans Staking Plans for Gambling and Racing Find a staking plan to manage your betting bank If you're serious about winning on horse racing or gambling,. Bots can be setup to bet at a custom time, with custom staking plans and custom trade-out/hedge rules pre-event or in-play. 50), then bet 10 units on Horse B and 10 units on Horse C. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. It provides stake recommendations and calculates your hypothetical profit had you strictly followed each of the four staking plans: level stakes, percentage stakes, square root stakes and the Kelly Criterion. 60 we would get a 3/1 treble up. The Favourites Only Staking Plan is used ONLY for betting on race favourites which of course have a long term strike rate of generally between 31% and 33%. . Sports betting can be a risky venture, but it can also be incredibly rewarding. The bets, to return $50, using the form of the Dutching approach, would be: Theseo $23 and Viewed $10, a total of $33. Bet strongly on true favourites. Or to be more specific, six selections in those races in which you attempt to get the trifecta. Sometimes a maximum and minimum unit stake is used, from one unit to twenty units for example. The total outlay per race is 5 per cent of the highest point of the bank (rounded to next dollar). Use your form reading skills to decide if a candidate is a strong favourite or not. 50 chance. in the April, 1987, issue. Author Paul Segar has produced textbooks which. Determine your unit stake: your expected strike rate is 50% so you. 50. Using Fixed Liability for High Odds: When laying horses with very high odds, a fixed liability staking plan can ensure losses don't spiral out of control. This can be a very neat plan for those punters content to back favourites race to race, or who take the horses at pretty short odds. 5 x your stake using Betfair Favourites Bot. The third bet is 8 units and the horse runs a place, so you win $7. com Betting Tracker Introduction Page / 1 4 7 14 4 4. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. With a betting bank, play safe and divide it into two. Th. Eliminate any horse not in the first half of the betting. Staking plan Staking plans ensure healthy returns despite short odds on offer. Quite a number of them offer spacious, testing courses. Automatically places Back/Lay bets on one or more favourites within the market. betting at short prices), 5% is an acceptable figure. 1. OK so maybe you can only afford a bankroll of 1000 euro, which means your average unit will be 20. Firstly, we'll look at the difference between a bet on a horse at even money. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. Place Level Stakes Loss on turnover: -6. Thus, you can have 20 consecutive losers before wiping out the bank. and now I've heard of one more plan! Using place bets, a friend told me he had not had a losing year for six years. You might have even tossed in Not Fussy in the first event, and Our Highlander in the fifth, both at less than 2/1 ($2. Unlike our standard. In a way, it sums up betting. Now, in a couple of rules, you have this entire system. Now in Online Software and Spreadsheet. 2. They are as follows: HOT FAVOURITE PLAN. A staking plan based on the approach of betting MORE for a place than for a win is known as The 10 Per Cent Carve up. This gives you two winning trebles (races 4-5-6 and 5-6-7). 0 4 3 3 3 3. 00) win chance in a 10-runner race has a place price of 9/5 (2. 4. From Adrian Massey’s website. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. Step 1. You only go forward when you win - and you follow the above progression list to determine how far forward you go. Top Dog + Top Box = Top Bet. The three staking plans chosen were (1) Level Stakes, (2) The Kelly 5 Per Cent of Bank, and (3) The Key Progression. Forget about “lucky” numbers, they have nothing to do with your win rate. Now, professional punters love this approach. 40 don't pay the $50 outlay. Sure, there may be days when this is not the case, but those days are few and far between. 5 units. 5 goals markets in football. Some observations though. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant. 92% Wins: 61, losses: 32. Percentage of Bankroll for Favourites: When laying favourites or horses at lower odds, using a percentage of your bankroll might optimise returns while ensuring risks are manageable. e. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Th. Place one bet each day on 1. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. In this case, he would have $1. Leave a. TAGS > odds on, odds on staking plan, short odds, short odds betting, short odds staking plan. Beneficially, we advise that you use not more than 3% progression to avoid unnecessary liabilities. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. Quite a few friends of mine have started off following certain staking approaches-and then simply discarded them when a few losers arrived and, quite naturally, the plans couldn't deliver a positive result. 5/2. Return for a 4-1 double would be $5. And remember that both staking approaches have bet the same amount of money. The latter progression works on the basis that each figure is bet the same number of times it represents (i. As can be seen from the table below, with a 40% strike rate you can expect to have a losing sequence of 10 somewhere in the series (there is a 75% chance of that happening). The first favourites won 66, second favourites 56, third favs 32, fourth favs 34, fifth favs 30 and sixth favs 10. Prices from 7. Racerate. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. It backs away teams that are not strong favourites but have a decent long term away record against a. This calls for a total outlay of 26 units over 10 bets. He felt the strength of his betting was a very careful selection of his bets, mostly choosing short-priced favourites, and. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. Sure, there may be days when this is not the case, but those days are few and far between. Horse at 7/1: 10 divided by 7 = a stake of £1. That means relatively small returns compared to your stake, but with an increases chance of actually winning the bet. Avoid odds-on selections. 3 per cent on turnover, while level stakes loses 25 per cent! Quite a difference. This progression staking approach is aimed at races where the favourite is better than $3. Here is what the formula looks like: f* = (bp – q)/b. Whatever staking plan you adopt, be prepared for LONG losing runs. 8. For example, you might use a scale of 0. Our sister software – The Bet Machine – TBM was released in 2020. A further extension of this idea would be to chase winning doubles with the favourites in each race. I think he was right. The reasoning is simple. Staking Plan #1 presents a particularly bad sequence of 50 favourites, producing only 15 winners and level stakes loss of over 12 units, a Loss On Turnover (LOT) of 24. The Punt Master. Background: The Special Factor Plan was devised with two purposes in mind: 1). Titanbet Bet $25 Get $25 Min. Races won: 1841. Level Staking . Dutch Deluxe in a software that has 3 different dutching options. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. Starts Since Spell Statistics. At the same meeting in the Coolmore Classic, the equal favourites were Typhoon Tracy and Gallant Tess. Critics have lambasted divisor betting because they say you can end up chasing your tail and betting huge amounts of. In this staking strategy, a punter bets a certain number of ‘units’ based on their confidence, with a ‘unit’ being a predetermined amount of money. Average Win Dividend: $2. Sat 26 May 2018 12 13 00 GMT 05. Become experienced in one sportYou can have one strategy betting on favourites, a second one trading on horse races, a third one betting on tennis matches and several other strategies betting on football events or tipster tips. Staking Plan #1 presents a particularly bad sequence of 50 favourites, producing only 15 winners and level stakes loss of over 12 units, a Loss On Turnover (LOT) of 24. Staking - the crucial element to punting success How you manage your money is just as important as making your selections. TBM incorporates Race Card data for UK/IRE Horse Racing and UK Greyhound Racing. A plan that rocked the nation nearly two years ago was The Dark Horse, yet its heart was so simple that when purchasers started to read what was in front of them they could hardly contain their glee. The horse to be backed is 5/1. The HRC Plate, a black-type event for mares at Caulfield in early February, was a very open affair with two equal favourites at $4 but only four runners in the field of 13 at quotes of $10 or less. In running order according to the times of the races, the order of bets went like this: Lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, lost, WON 9/4, WON 7/4, lost, lost, lost, WON 11 / 8, WON 2 / 1. Some punters like to bet for a win, others for a place, still others love the quinellas or trifectas, or doubles. In this way, regardless of your budget, you can maximize your earnings by managing your budget with a low odds staking plan . April 13, 2020 by admin. 00 to win a paltry £1. Investors can earn about 4. Starting with a betting bank of £1,000, using an expected win percentage of 94 (my actual win percentage is 95%) and a divisor of two, the betting bank as at 17 th October 2009 stands at £12,582. M. 57 / 73. Well, I have been playing around with a staking plan and today it suddenly looked back at me from the computer screen and said, "My name is Happy Families". As one example of what can happen, let's assume that the favourites win races 4, 5, 6 and 7. The second favourite must be 7-2 or longer in the betting. Well it really is quite simple and soundly based. Also consider level staking and to reduce losing runs put small amounts on a couple of dangers if you really need to. The longest losing run on the day was three bets. P. The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. 200 2 1 1 1 1 1 1. 24 ROI: 1. 50. This means the maximum stake is £10. Killer staking plan that reduces losses to a maximum of 2. Always restrict your betting to one city’s racetracks. Staking Plan Calculator and Betting Tracker v1. Your basic betting unit is ONE per cent of your total bank. I think he was right. ) Always commence staking 1 point per bet in each group. I think he was right. com was first established in 1999 as a down to earth punters' site without all the fake sales hype and pop ups. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. 6 Point Staking Plan. 26. What you have to do is make sure you obtain a VALUE price. For an extensive coverage of First 4. As mentioned last month, you may. 4%. FAVOURITE IN A THIRTEEN HORSE FIELD. . You get back $50 for a profit of $17 (+51. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . The Bet Machine Help Manual. . Track Secrets (Part 3)THE SUPER FAVS PLAN. Using the progression plan with these same bets the outlay was 8,390,014 for a return of 20,974,765. Dutch Betting Calculator Explained. . The best way to understand the lay 1-4 staking plan is by working through an example. Let's say you had 8 bets at $3 each ($24). The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. The first is the aforementioned Partial Place Plan and the second is a plan known as Oscar's Grind, developed by a roulette-playing gambler at the casinos. THREE FOR THE MONEY. With this staking plan, you know what your largest stake is going to be before you start. 75. 06 up to 1. Your starting bank, is, say 100 units. 00 (~6 MB) This file is based on the standard betting tracker. Staking Plans; Favourites; No data found Favourites 2 Favourites. A good example of this is the Martingale system, which relies on doubling up your stake after a losing bet. One point on each, both lost, leaving 1 loser in each group. In fact, both HAD to be at 3-1 or under before you bet them. I think he was right. Designed to enhance your punting activity & help increase your profits. 57 x 20 = 7. Staking - the crucial element to punting success How you manage your money is just as important as making your selections. Spread-5 is perfect for controlling your outlay. Note that there is NOT an inbuilt Stop Loss. Considering the same profit target the punter will bet $10 on a horse showing odds of $11 to win his $100. Try sticking to favourites in fields of 10 or fewer, and ditch that staking plan. Some years ago, while holidaying for a lengthy period in France, I met a chap who made his money on the Paris races by following a two-horses-in-the-one-race approach. 14). 25. With our professional guidance you don't need to have a degree in finance, special trading or programming skills. The method, as you will probably realise, is designed to sort out true favourites. Sometimes, favourites can go two or three meetings without notching a win. 50 on each race. After a loser, increase by a further half-unit eachway. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. Mar 26, 2023 #6. How strong are the betting favourites? If they are solid and you have them on your ticket, forget saving. It is also worth pointing out that you can combine it with other strategies as well. com has evolved into an informational, "encyclopedic" resource for lovers of horse racing. 52 points, while based on the Lay 1-4 Staking Plan, I’m up 14. The favourite must be 2-1 or shorter in the betting. Three for the Money. Saturday Insiders. I think he was right. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. The most profitable staking plan was the Kelly Staking Plan. For higher risk methods, you may wish to consider 3%, or even 2%. For the average punter investing up to $20-$30 per bet, this section makes interesting reading. You bet as follows: (a) Three quinellas each race at $4 each, total $24. Both favourites were coming back from a spell and could be risked, so the selections were the next four in the betting - Special Grange, Skewiff. 3. 3. 40. Plan #3 – Profit target – staking a certain amount on the first selection to win a specific amount, using loss recovery and stopping at a winner or after 5 losses. THE PARTIAL PLACE PLAN . 40, with some punters going up to 1. Last Start Staring Price Statistics. Work out the approximate odds of each double. 19 backing and 19 laying staking plans: Automatic markets and selections search across the all sports events: Load multiple UK, AUS, US races, greyhounds and other markets: Betting on unnamed favourites (1-6. If there is sufficient confidence in the favourite winning, the punter should increase. Punters who set a profit target in each race might also adjust their stake according to the price to achieve that target amount. 32: 110: 1,861:. Now, Racerate. The doubles would return you $40, the trebles would return $80, the quaddies would return $80 as well and the lone quintuple would get you $32. 00 to win a paltry £1. For your weekend betting action. So, okay, it's no State secret - I use a very, very cautious. 80. Load more library articles Popular; You may like; Recent; 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. . Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. The XYZ Staking Plan is selected and we load the 1326 Preset Settings in order to use the 1326 Staking Plan. 40, with some punters going up to 1. Betting in level stakes, the profit works out at 2. 50. Section A A1. Saturday Last Start Statistics. Start every series with a $10 wager (or a multiple) on the first bet. 20 on 100 bets. They are offered on a first-come, first-served basis and can be sold out anytime. The same goes for the money returned from race 8-it goes onto the favourites in the first two races at the next meeting. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. Study the two daily double races carefully pick one race in which the favourite seems to have a strong chance. Staking Plans The Good the Bad and the Downright Ugly. Choose an ordered favourite OR individual and multiple selections. Th. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. 50 winner, that’s six bets, and that’s $6. In his book Commonsense Betting, which is arguably the finest book written on the betting and the mathematics of horse-racing, US author Dick Mitchell wrote about various staking plans. The following is the staking plan in detail: 200 units bank makes the bet 10 units until bank hits 220 220 units bank makes the bet 11 units until bank hits 240 240 units bank makes the bet 12 units until bank hits 260 260 units bank makes the bet 13 units until bank hits 280 280 units bank makes the bet 14 units until bank hits 300 When you. 10 odds strategy. Th. 5 – 5, where 1 unit = $10. 43. 73%. It's not something they can ever be cured of, but this staking plan at least attempts to put them in a better position to overcome the inherent financial dangers posed by chain betting. Always restrict your betting to one city’s racetracks. The very first bet will be 0. The Punt Master One of racing's perpetual debates is on the worth of staking plans - do or don't they enhance a punter's selections by improving profits over those at level stakes. 75 units, or 25 per cent on turnover. 50 for the place. In a way, it sums up betting. Return if a winner, $7. If you back outsiders, you could go 50 races without a winner. A decent staking plan cn make the difference between profit and loss. at 2/1 ON the place!), would give you $57 for just that final 20 per cent, together with the earlier returns of $38, $25, $17 and $11, a total of around $150 or 5/1. 50 (i. Staking Plan For Short Priced Favourites. Work out the approximate odds of each double. The Martingale System is often associated with Roulette but can be applied to any sort of betting. The best possible staking plan using only low odds 👌; Step-by-step instructions on how to build the best staking plan for low odds 👣; Is it worthwhile to invest in a low-risk strategy? ⚠️; Top tips & tricks before creating the best staking plan for low odds ; The benefits and drawbacks of a low-odds stake plan 📊 Granted you would still have lost backing all favourites during the season just gone but the loss would be a more manageable -7. There is not a week goes past that I am not asked via e-mail what staking plan I use. Fine tune your selections and staking plan in TSM. 7/2 = 4. Also consider level staking and to reduce losing runs put small amounts on a couple of dangers if you really need to. Included is. But the reality is that it will never work on poor systems. Odds-on favourites won around 58 % of their races losing 6. Pick your three best horses in each of the races (or take the pre-post favourites). 50) or better, then bet 20 units on Horse B and 20 units on Horse C. History of The Staking Machine. Once you have won, you place your initial bank roll plus your profits from every bet on the next wager. Most favourites are false favourites, as evidenced by the fact that only about three out of 10 of them actually win. Work out the approximate odds of. (3) Step 2. . Over 4-1. I think the Jackform staking plan for favourites would work okay with football as the odds are low B BecomeRichasap Good luck and stay well . Some years ago, we talked in P. Lets say you bet 200 bets a year. Your return on the sole winner at 9/2 would be $18, leaving you with a loss of $6 on the day, compared with only $2 using the 6-Point Plan. Place bets 1sec or hours before the race starts; Bet filters: Min/max number of runners, Max stake/liability protection, % back/lay ratio, Unsettled bets allowed, Multiple staking plans 1. 00) average adds. A “staircase” method of staking can prove a winning approach if you can take what I call a measured way of leavening out the bets. Labouchere. I should warn an edge like that would require some serious inside info. THE NUTS AND BOLTS. 2. Horse C = 20 / 73. Now that's a bold claim but he had the records to prove it. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than a game of chance. Same Track Last Start Statistics. The fixed staking plans also cut across 15, 30, 60, and 90 days. Finally, it is worth noting that some of the strategies we’ve highlighted require deep research, which involves spending a lot of time before placing any actual bets. Your return for Bank One is $20 at 5/1, or $120. Don said picking a trifecta winning bet was a test of skill rather than. We will use a start bank of £100 and one unit will be £1. 14). So two favourites at less than 2/1 can make a pretty decent profit. 1. Watch on. Staking has been covered many times in P. Column B: Total Stake: $34 Return: $42. Pick out one city on which to operate. 2%. Odds On Betting Systems Free Horse Racing Tips. Manage to snare four of the five and you get back three times your investment, or 200 per cent. 10 Ideas for Trifecta Profits (Part 1) The late Don Scott once wrote that the best form of exotic betting is the trifecta. However, under the selection rules with the poll, the average odds should be close to 3/1, or better than 3/1, although if a bettor were using the staking plan on his own selections he would, no doubt, occasionally come up with short-priced choices. $156. Th. 50 Favourites Staking Plan. I have different settings profiles setup in the TSM software, starting with the recommended settings from the book and then test them. e.